Over het archief
Het OWA, het open archief van het Waterbouwkundig Laboratorium heeft tot doel alle vrij toegankelijke onderzoeksresultaten van dit instituut in digitale vorm aan te bieden. Op die manier wil het de zichtbaarheid, verspreiding en gebruik van deze onderzoeksresultaten, alsook de wetenschappelijke communicatie maximaal bevorderen.
Dit archief wordt uitgebouwd en beheerd volgens de principes van de Open Access Movement, en het daaruit ontstane Open Archives Initiative.
Basisinformatie over ‘Open Access to scholarly information'.
An ensemble approach to quantify global mean sea-level rise over the 20th century from tide gauge reconstructions
Palmer, M.D.; Domingues, C.M.; Slangen, A.B.A.; Boeira Dias, F. (2021). An ensemble approach to quantify global mean sea-level rise over the 20th century from tide gauge reconstructions. Environ. Res. Lett. 16(4): 044043. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abdaec
In: Environmental Research Letters. IOP Publishing: Bristol. ISSN 1748-9326; e-ISSN 1748-9326, meer
|   |
| Author keywords |
sea level rise; climate change observations; tide gauge reconstructions; uncertainty quantification; climate change assessment |
| Auteurs | | Top |
- Palmer, M.D.
- Domingues, C.M.
- Slangen, A.B.A., meer
- Boeira Dias, F.
|
|
|
| Abstract |
We present an ensemble approach to quantify historical global mean sea-level (GMSL) rise based on tide gauge reconstructions. This approach combines the maximum internal uncertainty across the ensemble with an estimate of structural uncertainty to provide a conservative estimate of the total uncertainty. Comparisons of GMSL rise over the 20th century based on deltas and linear trends (and their respective uncertainties) are consistent with past Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change assessments and show good agreement with satellite altimeter timeseries. Sensitivity tests show that our estimates of GMSL rise are robust to the choice of reference period and central estimate timeseries. The methods proposed in this study are generic and could be easily applied to other global or regional climate change indicators. |
IMIS is ontwikkeld en wordt gehost door het VLIZ.
